More and more I distinguish two ways of stating things in conversation and debate.
1. Declaration: Statement of opinion as though of fact, "The world IS this way."
2. Exploration: Statement of opinion as hunch, bet, working hypothesis "I think the world is this way."
And in case I haven’t been clear, all of the above is exploration for me still. I mean this article's title to be ironic. The points above are not surefire, but my work-in-progress hypothesis about how and when to think things through together.