Much needed essay in an age where feeling good about our ideals is more important than actual measurable outcomes.
Virtue signaling is the lazy man's way of giving himself a trophy for doing nothing.
So you're not a "10" in every which way. But you're probably pretty spectacular in some way, and definitely good enough in most areas of life. If ever there were a time to stop beating yourself up for being human, it is now.
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“The road to hell is paved with good intentions” or so the proverb goes.
I have to admit that other people's good intentions have caused me many problems in life, and that I am, as a result, deeply concerned by how much we, as individuals in today's hi-tech society, are now engaged in the parading of well-meaning attitudes, as if we're all competing to be seen as virtuous.
This subject came alive for me recently, after I gave a talk on Why We'd Be Happier Without Utopia. The talk was a historical rundown of how almost every time that any social group has attempted to build a Utopia - literally attempting to embody their good intentions in the creation of a perfect place - it has ended in tragedy, misery and the abandonment of their project.
After the talk, a mature woman came up to me. She described herself as having a mixture of hippie political idealism and new-age spirituality. After pleasantries, she got to the bare bones of it. My talk had made her angry. It would, she said, rob everyone of hope and make the world miserable. All of the utopians I had talked about, she said - and these included utopian socialists, the diggers, perfectionist religious groups, Fourierists, free love groups and new agers who had set up collectives and alternative living experiments over the last three hundred years - all these people, even though they may have failed, still had good intentions, she said. It was unfair of me, to criticise them.
I tried to explain to her that my task was to look at the actual consequences of these well-meaning projects. With a scientific eye. With an ethical eye. After all, what I had discovered was that the real-life outcomes were too awful and immoral to be swept under the carpet by claiming that the experimenters had good intentions. Because, after all, the Rev Jim Jones of the People's Temple, had good intentions, but the result was the Jonestown Cult Massacre. And the hippie, Jesus Movement group known as The Children of God, also had good intentions and wanted to bring free love to everyone, but yet their cult was prosecuted for rape, sexual coercion, and child sex abuse. And for that matter, if we were to take Pol Pot and Stalin at their word, they clearly believed, and had everyone else believe, that they had good intentions. In fact, it's alarming how often on the internet today we hear people claim that Stalin's genocides weren't as bad as Hitler's genocides because, Stalin "meant well".
I then explained to the woman that I had a personal stake in this debate, because my parents had been hippies, and my traumatic childhood had been the unintended consequence of their ideals. I told her that I knew many other children of hippies who had also had childhoods of neglect and abuse, and that surely, she wasn't asking me to sweep away all the evidence of that personal injury and forty years of difficult lived experience for the sake of a few lines about peace and love.
She was not pleased. "You want to put my generation on trial," she said, and stormed away, leaving me with the feeling that there is a generational split between the boomers and my generation, Generation X. Most likely because we are the living consequences of their ideals, and they don't like what they see.
There is a particular weakness in human psychology when it comes to our goals and dreams. We use magical thinking and confirmation bias in the following way: We set ourselves an idealistic or ambitious goal that will make us feel good about ourselves - say, for example, attempting to grow tomato plants in a cold climate. We make ourselves believe that by sheer force of will power, positive thinking, faith, love and perseverance, the plants will grow. But when they wither and die, we either pretend to ourselves that they grew quite well, or we blame some other factor and depict it as malevolent (the local cats, an unexpected storm). The last thing we want to do is examine our initial intentions, because they may turn out to have been ill-planned or even foolish. We then experience cognitive dissonance; we feel emotional distress at having failed at out own values, so to get rid of that horrible feeling we create rationalisations after-the-fact that justify what we have done. We tell ourselves that even though, the results weren’t quite perfect, trying to grow tomato plants in a cold and barren land, is still a beautiful ideal. Then, we hide all the evidence of failure. We might even feel ashamed after telling all of our neighbours about our great plan, and so we lie and tell everyone the plants grew brilliantly.
This is no big deal when it is one person’s struggle with their own private garden, but when such good intention projects are executed on a society-wide scale, the results can be disastrous. First Scottish philosopher David Hume and then economist Adam Smith, with his "law of unintended consequences," warned us that "interventions in complex systems tend to create undesirable outcomes". The theory goes that the larger the planned change in society, the greater is the probable likelihood of unforeseen and adverse outcomes. Substantial evidence was gathered to back up this theory in the 20th century by American sociologist Robert K. Merton and most recently by neuroscientist and anthropologist Terrence Deacon.
No matter how much inventors, social engineers, corporations and government leaders try to execute plans based on good intentions, unforeseen consequences have persistently led to the opposite of what was intended.
One of the most ambitious pieces of society-wide utopian planning was Chinese Communist leader Chairman Mao’s "Four Pests Project" in The Great Leap Forward (1958-62). It was intended to eradicate mosquitoes, flies, rats and above all sparrows from China, destroying all the parasitic creatures that diminished the rice crops. But after the populace killed 23 million birds, something unanticipated occurred: swarms of beetles emerged, then locusts, slugs and all of the smaller crop-eating insects that the birds would have eaten. This massive ecological imbalance contributed considerably to the Great Chinese Famine of 1958-61. In one county, Guangshan, one-third of the population died from starvation, while the total national death toll from starvation was 20-45 million people. Mao Zedong's communist party had to then hide the evidence of mass starvation, and then, in the next year to import more birds from the Soviet Union. With the magical thinking, made of the union between guilty conscience, reality denial, and self-deception, the communist party declared the Great Leap Forward to have been a huge success, with the suppression of anyone who had evidence that proved otherwise. Good intentions prevailed again.
Other examples of unintended consequences include dams which cause droughts in states and countries other than the ones in which they were built. (New Mexico vs Texas, Turkey vs Iraq).
The unintended consequences of the internet have included massive shrinkage in the music industry, print journalism, and book stores; along with the aggressive emergence of trolling, fake news, online identity theft, online bullying, and bullycide. While, new roads that have been designed to be safe, end up causing more accidents than “dangerous roads”, due to changes in driver’s “perceived risk”.
In the UK, a well-meaning increase in state funds, intended to alleviate the problems of single parents, contributed to an increase in the number of single parents and made it harder for young couples on welfare benefits to stay together (parents receive more state benefits if they live apart), Thus adding to the social fragmentation that the state had attempted to mitigate.
Further examples of unintended consequences include: Air conditioning systems that raise city temperatures by 10% and government road building plans to alleviate congestion that lead to an increase in car ownership. There’s also Superbugs that have been created by the overuse of antibiotics.
Freakishly positive unexpected outcomes can also occur, such as the side effect of anti-depressants that make them a cure for premature ejaculation or the side effect of Aspirin, that makes it useful in preventing heart attacks.
The west’s largest attempt at declaring our good intentions on a world scale was Live Aid (1985). It pains us to question the real outcomes of that great charity event. We don’t want to look at the evidence that $85 of the $220 million intended to relieve the famine in Ethiopia ended up in the hands of the country's dictator Mengistu Haile Mariam, leader of a communist military force that took control of Ethiopia in the 1970s. Or at what Spin magazine called "the fraudulent use of the charitable money by unmistakably the world's most brutal dictator, and the naive, hubris drenched complicity of Live and [Bob] Geldof". It's too horrible and it makes us feel complicit, so instead we stick to singing “We Are The World” once a year, and keep on telling ourselves that we meant well.
We're living at a time when the good intentions fallacy is gaining dominance: the belief that because we mean well, everything, in reality, has to correspond to that wish. It's a variant on the older righteousness fallacy, that everything righteous people do and say is good.
It might be wiser for us to accept that the law of unintended consequences messes with all intentions, and approach all our well-intentioned plans with caution and concern. But this seems highly unlikely in an age in which the signaling of our good intentions on social media has become one of the ways in which we construct our fragile identities. We signal our virtues every day for the likes and clicks of virtual others. We feel we are useless nonentities unless we endlessly tell social media: “I, personally, am saving the world, right now”.
It is much more comforting for us to live in a fantasy world in which consequences don’t exist and all our intentions come true; in which every time we are troubled with doubts about how things actually turn out, we conceal the evidence and evade judgment by insisting that “we meant well”. Real life consequences can be ugly, and disturbing and if we hide from them then we never stand a chance of learning from them.
But how psychologically healthy is it, really, to live in a state of denial all the time? In a world in which intentions dominate and outcomes are banished, nothing is of any consequence.
Much needed essay in an age where feeling good about our ideals is more important than actual measurable outcomes.
Virtue signaling is the lazy man's way of giving himself a trophy for doing nothing.
You put that very eloquently - in fact more concisely than I did. I'm glad the article resonated with you.
because I'll always be too flawed to be a perfect piece of the perfect puzzle...the difference between me and the utopians is I realize this and I actually have worked on myself, unlike most of the utopians I see who are personally a mess in their own lives...what Jordan Peterson said about getting your own house in order...
you make an interesting observation - that the lives of Utopians are often a mess. I would think this is because if you detest everything about the world - as it is - you will take little care of anything in it, or even of yourself and your relationships within it. Denigrating everything as "the status quo" and comparing all lived experience negatively in comparison to a fantasised perfection that is set in the future. As a friend of mine once pointed out about living in a commune - the more passionate a commune member is about politics, the less they tend to do the dishes.
I also find this to be a societal trend all around.
I have endless examples of this in my industry which deals with laws and regulations impacting the real estate industry.
People with good intentions help promote laws and regulations which are intended to help society but which actually create as many problems as they solve and in some cases actually create problems without solving anything.
Part of the disconnect is that identifying the problem has nothing to do with identifying the right solution.
In my industry I figure that the groups that pass those laws and regulations have obviously never actually worked in the field for any valuable amount of time and dealt with day to day issues.
Generally speaking we seem to increasingly lost in a world of mental concepts that we confuse for reality.
Very well said, I agree we do "seem to increasingly lost in a world of mental concepts that we confuse for reality." I think the internet has a lot to do with this, and PR industries. Here's an example from my own city. This year the city of Glasgow unveiled a statue to world renowned architect Charles Rennie Mackintosh. Wonderful you might think - a big bronze statue - and about time too, and what a great PR exercise for the city. The problem is, at exactly the same time, the city, and the board of governors of the Glasgow School of Art, this architects greatest architectural achievement, let the building burn to the ground, for the SECOND time. It now has to be demolished. So the PR - the tweet with a picture of the statue - now has eclipsed the reality. what is the point of demonstrating how much you celebrate an architect when you let his only, an Irreplaceable masterpiece burn to the ground. The reality has vanished and now only the PR stunt statue - placed for photo-opportunities- remains. Another example of people getting lost in their good intentions and seriously neglecting the reality.
Very important issue. Something we all must seriously confront. One can list many more examples: "third-world" aid that does more harm than good; easy access to various foods which were scarce throughout our evolutionary history; etc.
The question then: What is to be done? There is a risk that we just give into "do nothing" despair, since we think anything we do might make matters worse. Of course, to do nothing is still a choice.
Maybe we just have to be in a constant mode of self-criticism and self-correction. Set out on the best plan we can come up with after serious research, debate, and reflection about a given problem. Be ready to adjust and change course, or stop altogether and go back to the drawing board, as soon as unintended negative consequences arise. Is this even practically feasible? Psychologically realistic?
Yet we must do better. It is truly a matter of life and death, as it was for those millions who died in the famines.
Bad intentions have caused me much more trouble than good intentions.
This article does not mention that good intentions get stolen and misused by bad intentions.
Goodness and willingness to cooperate is easily being taken advantage of.
Which basically means this:
Good people have good intentions. Bad people can take advantage of that.
Then - to make it more complicated - there are also STUPID people who can turn somebody else's good intention into fallacy.
And then - there is plenty of other reasons - how good intentions can go wrong.
Great article!
It seems that it's just in recent history that there is this "despotic benevolence" syndrome. What starts out as a problem solved, is a problem created. It's easy to get swept up by a wave a good intentions only to be drowning by short sightedness.
Nicely said, H20. Is the phrase "despotic benevolence" syndrome, your own. It's very good.
It reminds me of a quote a friend just posted on twitter after reading this same article:
"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies."
C.S. Lewis
I couldn't agree more with the arguments made by Ewan, great job! As we attempt to wade through the muck of mainstream media content, it's ever more important to weigh what we're being to exposed to with the wisdom contained in this piece. Simply, let's not repeat the mistakes in judgment we're so notorious for.
What happens when we take good intentions and amplify them with group think? Sprinkle in extreme fear mongering and paranoia. Add in justification based on "scientific consensus". We've got ourselves a real witch's brew!
A little research might reveal that scientific consensus rarely contributes major discoveries that enhances society. And the individuals who really spearheaded innovations are often overlooked by society at large. Nikola Tesla comes to mind.
Can we really take in all the migrants "refugees"? Obviously we can't. So why would we overburden our economy based solely on good intentions? Won't that hurt the migrants as well?
How can America truly be a force for actual good outcomes if we can't even account for impending debts?
The reaction to a figure like Trump is very telling. So many would reject actual beneficial outcomes solely because they didn't feel the intention was, "good" enough.
We now find ourselves burdened with the demands of racaus public demanding that our leaders lace every phrase with glowing rhetoric of good intentions. And for 8 years under Obama it literally got us nowhere.
If only more journalists in the popular culture would embrace reality and reserve hasty judgments on ideas that go against the grain. Perhaps relying on the firm ground of history and comparative analysis we might find the answers we're looking for. I'm sure of it actually.
The real question is, are we really so childish as the popular media is trying to portray? I'm not sure of that.
Hello David,
what first got me onto this was Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn's Gulag Archipelago. I knew that it was a study of Soviet atrocities, but even more than that it reveals in great detail how completely inept centralised government planning in a command economy is. The Soviets unleashed unintended consequences on a hither too unexplored dimension, they opened up a vast pandora's box of failure, miscalculation and systemic failure. Solzhenitsyn describes in often unexpectedly hilarious detail how stupid, ill researched commands came from Soviet central planning offices and when they plans failed dramatically, those involved were then jailed for being in possession of the truth about the failures. A brutal and Kafka-esque whitewashing. One stays in mind. Central command issued a demand to a gulag in Siberia to fell trees for construction. The temperatures were sub zero, the felled trees impossible to move in snow. So central office commanded that they be shipped by river. The trees were duly dragged to a river and strapped together, but the river froze. The trees could not move and commanders and gulag workers were shot for their 'failure'. The trees could not move till spring and when they did with the thaw, they moved downstream and started destroying bridges. An increasingly irate and scared central planning office then commanded that all of the trees be blown up with dynamite so that the bridges would be protected. This vastly expensive project - costly in terms of cash and human lives - then ended up six months after it began with the resource that was intended to be used, being destroyed. The evidence of the failure then had to be erased and over-written so that the ineptitude of the central planning office could not come to light. this involved more imprisonments and more firing squads. And so it goes on - when any government or party spend as much time hiding their mistakes as they do executing their plans, everything grinds to a halt. So, indeed, "let's not repeat the mistakes"!
Powerful history there. The weight of such human despair. I am at a loss as to why so many still believe it could work. Wete too disconnected from what makes society function. Everything just arrives and we question very little. Sadly we've already slipped into such ways far too often. People are not being taught to think critically. Memorization education is rearing its ugly head I'm afraid. We must do what we can to fill on the blanks where possible.
Thanks Ewan!
I dislike large parts of your argument.
You conclude it with the words: "In a world in which intentions dominate and outcomes are banished, nothing is of any consequence"
I see you are a good deal right. I’m appalled by the growing licentiousness , and the parallel decline of competencies in many domains of life. Intentions dominate and outcomes are banished today on a large scale.
It’s just that it happens - selectively.
The world in which "intentions dominate and outcomes are banished, nothing is of any consequence" is a world far removed from my childhood experiences.
My parents were conservative, I myself disliked the hippy culture, and the meaning of my life in childhood centered around school results. Grades, grades, grades! Grades that were largely about results, independent of appreciation of effort: as early as 3rd grade my best efforts were barely sufficient for me to pass music classes. And my personal worth was measured by school grades. I can still hear in my head these anxiously uttered phrases by teachers as well as peers: "Why would I care about that [problem of yours]!" "I don't want to hear any excuses!" “You have problems with THAT? What’s the matter with you?” "Aaah... NOW it is time to see who is _really_ worthy!” "Those who are of real worth should advance...".
The world in which "intentions dominate and outcomes are banished” is also far from the experiences of countless millions who work hard, and under strict criteria, to just get by in life. Many fail in that.
“Intentions dominate and outcomes are banished”? Yes, outside the parts of the world characterised by the phrases “cutthroat competition” and “rat race.”
Given that the tendency to ascribe to oneself good intentions is nearly universal, examples of good intentions leading to horrific outcomes must be also nearly universal. Here is some evidence that it is really so.
Adam Smith argued with good intentions for the prosperity of his country. His good intentions ultimately made him take positions that provided legitimacy to the suffering of millions of his compatriots. Smith’s was an influence like Marx’s, but in a more direct way, argues economist Michael Perelman in “The Invention of Capitalism.”
In recent decades, the policies advocated with good intentions by economists Jeffrey Sachs and Milton Friedman led to the deaths of over ten million people in just one country. An argument for it can be found in Stuckler & Basu (2013). “The Body Economic”
Other examples of the perils of the good intentions in adopting pro-market policies can be found in Paul Verhaeghe (2013). “Identiteit,” a book that you may well like.
The point of your article could be illustrated spectacularly well with the 2003. invasion of Iraq.
But you never choose to bring up that, or any other examples where people’s choices have a right-wing flavour.
Why is it so … I'm at a loss to see.
You say you have substantially changed your views. Once upon a time you tended to be on the 'left,' while now you're much more conservative: a good thing, insofar I can judge. One thing remains: your reasoning remains so implicit, that it is not clear and therefore not accountable. It is as if it belongs to an overly emotional leftist.
Finally, I'm turning to myself. What makes me impatient and irritated with your argument? The answer I'd give is that from the bottom of my being I resist attempts to answer questions of human tragedy in some simple moralistic fashion, and yours sounds like such.
It could be that that’s a misreading. It could be that you just want to provide a case for more caution, more rigorous discussions and analysis that should take place in a wide range of domains, from policy-making to parenting.
If so, we are in agreement.
Yes - you say "It could be that you just want to provide a case for more caution, more rigorous discussions and analysis that should take place in a wide range of domains, from policy-making to parenting." Yes, that is very much my conclusion, and I'm asking that we consider the phenomenon of Hubris. A good example of this might be again from Smith's Law of unintended consequences - that the larger the scale of a proposed plan, the more unintended consequences enter the picture. I'm thinking here of the fires that have destroyed the Glasgow School of Art - arguably the greatest piece of architecture in Scotland, and the more recent destruction of the greater part of Notre Dame Cathedral. Both of these fires came about through vast large scale "refurbishment projects" being mismanaged. There is something of the scale that increases the likelihood of accidents. And when companies and organisations are trying to pump up the scale of their projects to get greater press coverage, this too pushes, in this case architectural projects into the realm of hubris, and therefore increases the likelihood of unintended consequences.
Those who embark on, and announce, large scale "moral" projects might perhaps be aware that they can be judged in practical, realist terms on the outcomes they bring about. No amount of declaring good and moral intentions can conceal, ultimately, poor or disastrous outcomes. In this sense the article is skeptical of those who make moral claims, before we've measured the outcomes.
... on having put together a *great* article. Looking forward to more from you.
This is like the optimists who never want to discuss the reality of the situation and call people addressing problems "negative" and "complaining". You can't fix a problem without acknowledging it. I was laughing recently at comments about a city in decline. People were referencing homelessness and shops closing, and one of the optimists who was angry at them "criticising the city", disagreed with them on the basis that only recently she'd had a nice walk a long the canal!
I don't like the neo-liberal undertones in this article at all.
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