Bears, Fear, and Risk Management
How do we manage risk?
Posted Jul 26, 2011
Two weeks ago, I took a trip to Katmai National Park, a remote part of Alaska. The bush pilot dropped my husband, a guide, and me off and as he hopped on to his float plane said, "If I don't hear from you in ten days, I'll come looking for you." We were dropped off to kayak and camp in the location with the highest concentration of Grizzly Bears in the world (2000 in the last census). Risk taking comes in all forms: surfing, parachuting, cliff jumping, running a yellow light, venturing out of our comfort zone.
I knew I was taking on certain risks with this adventure and I came to appreciate my guide's keen wilderness risk management. Whereas the public's idea of those of us venturing into the wilderness may be to perceive it as reckless, dangerous and a disregard for safety, my guide emphasized risk management. This approach is a systematic approach to minimize exposure to risk that works to identify, analyze, evaluate, address and monitor risk.
How do we think about risk and safety after the tragedy of the recent Grizzly assault on a group of teens in Alaska? Any parent who has a child on an expedition must be filled with apprehension. Yet the statistical probability of this most recent attack was as close to zero as you could get - in fact, there's never been a bear attack on a group of seven or more people - until now. Thanks to the risk management practices of their group, none of the boys were killed.
I am called to explore the wilderness because of the reinvigorating majesty of nature and solitude and the test of my strength. Each time we hear of a tragedy, we are reminded of the risks that are inherent in what we decide to do (driving to work, being in love, venturing into bear country). We need to stay aware of the challenges we may confront, be they inclement weather, aggressive animals, or drunk drivers, and recognize the hazards of our risk while managing our safety as best we can. David Ropeik, instructor at Harvard University and author of How Risky Is it, Really? says that the way we perceive and respond to risk is a mix of facts and feelings, reason and gut reaction, cognition and intuition. We all want to keep ourselves alive and constantly manage risk and do our best to keep ourselves safe. Camping with roaming grizzlies wasn't completely logical, and assessing the risk wrong could be fatal, but the reality is we make risk choices all the time. The glimpses I had from the safe distance of my kayak of grizzlies lumbering on the coastline and the heavy fur blowing in the wind reminded me that they demand respect and caution.