Update on e-Books and the Rapid Spread of Technology - It's Happening Fast Folks!

E-Books Replacing Hardback? Amazon Reports E-Book Sales Show They May Be.

Posted Jul 20, 2010

Today's News from NPR:

At Amazon, E-Book Sales Outpace Hardbacks

Amazon's Kindle

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

By Wendy Kaufman, NPR.org

Amazon is now selling more electronic books than hardcover versions, and the online retailer says even it's surprised by how fast things have changed. Amazon has been selling hardback books for 15 years; it began selling its Kindle reader and the e-books to go with it less than three years ago. Yet this past spring and early summer, Amazon sold 143 e-books for every 100 hardcover books, a gap that is widening quickly. "I think the thing that's compelling to most people is it sounds like the beginning of the end," says Joseph Janes, an associate professor at the Information School at the University of Washington. Janes says the shift toward e-books is inevitable as we move from an analog world to a digital one. "It's going to be a halting but probably steady forward path toward digital versions of what we used to think of as books," Janes says. "For a lot of people, if you can bump up the font and adjust the lighting, for people with reading impairments or just old eyes, some of these digital readers are a godsend."

Cost Advantage

Amazon says consumers love the convenience of e-books; they probably like the price, too. The vast majority of Amazon's e-books cost less than $10. Hardcover books average about $25. What's more - Amazon slashed the price of the Kindle last month in response to competitive pressures from Barnes & Noble and, more notably, from Apple's iPad. The Kindle's price fell from $259 to $189. "In the last 30 or so days, we have seen a tripling in the growth in that business - meaning we have reached a tipping point with the new price of Kindle," says Steve Kessel, senior vice president for Amazon Kindle.

Rising E-Book Sales

Aaron Kessler, an analyst with ThinkEquity, says some people initially thought the iPad, which can be used as a book reader but does other things, too, would hurt Amazon dearly. But he doesn't see it turning out that way. "To a certain degree, it probably has cannibalized the Kindle device," Kessler says, "although we think it probably accelerated the sale of the digital books, which ultimately is where Amazon should be making more of the money is on the book side and not the hardware sales." The total number of books sold by Amazon is rising, and paperbacks remain the most popular. The online retailing giant won't say how many books of any type it sells, and it won't say how many Kindle devices have been bought. But based on survey data, analyst James McQuivey of Forrester Research says the number of e-book readers sold is now well into the millions. "There are probably 6 million of these in the market right now, most of which are Amazon Kindles; Sony and Barnes & Noble make up the biggest part of the rest of them. "By the end of the year, though, we will be close to 11 million." And with 11 million e-book readers, many more e-books are likely to be sold.


To tell you the truth I was both surprised and amazed at the speed of this transition. I guess part of me should not see this as an anomaly since we have seen unbelievably rapid growth in all areas of media and technology. ComScore reported that Facebook just broke the 500 million visitor mark in the month of April (they had just hit 400 million in February), in fourth place behind Google (921 million users), Microsoft (728 million) and Yahoo (588 million). Facebook is not yet 6 years old and more than 200 million users log on every day! ComScore also reported that the average viewer watches 161 videos per month and Pew Research Center just published a nationwide study showing that 75% of 18- to 29-year-olds have created a social networking profile, compared to 50% of 30- to 45-year-olds and even 30% of Baby Boomers. Pew also found that 88% of teens and young adults, and 77% of Gen Xers use cell phones to text. Even 51% of Baby Boomers text. Internet use is nearly ubiquitous with 80% to 90% of all generations using it. Further Pew documents how rapidly these changes have occurred comparing these data to similar results from 2005, 2006, and 2008. There is no stopping the spread of technology and media.

As I said in my last blog post (Reading on a Kindle or iPad is NOT Reading ... So, They Say ... Maybe it is Better), this is a new world and we are seeing major changes happening not in decades or years but in months. These changes, I believe, are caused directly by changes in technology and media. There is no doubt that the reason we are seeing mini-generations rather than full blown 15-20 year generations has to do directly with dramatic changes in media consumption among the youth, particularly teenagers and preteens. Our youth are driving these changes and demanding more technology as they goggle up each new website and new techno-gadget.

I will try to keep discussing our changing world in future blogs here at Psychology Today. If there are any topics you wish to read about let me know at LROSEN@CSUDH.EDU.