Steven Johnson was a rising star at the NordicWear Company, even before that brutal winter of 2002. But then, thanks to a rebate program he instituted for their new line of snow pants, he rocketed up the corporate ladder.
His plan was brilliant in its simplicity. Late in the previous winter, he ran a series of rebate deals in small markets across northern Minnesota and Wisconsin. In some towns, he gave customers a week to turn in their receipts for a rebate. In others, a month. In yet others, he was generous enough to give them six months. He also varied the dollar amount of the rebate, and the amount of paperwork customers needed to turn in to claim their rebates. Informed by the result of these experiments, Johnson identified the rebate sweet spot:
Johnson’s program took advantage of several well-known behavioral phenomena. For instance, he discovered that when people have a longer time to turn in their rebates, they mistakenly conclude that they will be more likely to do so. After all, if you give me six months to complete paperwork, I should have an easier time meeting the deadline than if you only give me six days. As it turns out, however, such a lengthy rebate causes many people to procrastinate, with such procrastination leading to lost receipts or forgotten rebates. His rebate program also takes advantage of people’s well known tendencies to overestimate their own will power. As I noted in a recent post, those of us who study human nature can influence people’s behavior without them being aware of the influence.