Once again, the Chicago Cubs are not in the World Series. Last year, however, they seemed destined to win it. They won 97 games, the most for any Cubs team since 1945 and the most in the National League. Their team included seven all-stars, as well as the Manager of the Year and the Rookie of the Year. Then, during the 2008 National League Division Series (NLDS), the Chicago Cubs lost to the Los Angeles Dodgers in dramatic fashion. They were swept in three games, played on October 1, 2, and 4. They lost games 1 and 3, playing badly. In those games, they left a total of 8 runners in scoring position. During game 2, however, all of their infielders committed errors (i.e., four errors, during the second, fourth, and ninth innings). The ball bounced up their arms, off their shoulders, and left them looking around, confused. Cubs’ fans, looking for an explanation as dramatic as the Cubs’ failure, settled on a longtime favorite, the “curse of the billy goat.” Given the Cubs’ history and people’s love of supernatural explanations this is not surprising. People are especially likely to believe in superstitions when they feel that they lack control over an event. People also expect the cause of a dramatic event to be equally dramatic. Oftentimes, however, the cause is not dramatic, but rather a subtle and seemingly unimportant situational factor. In the case of the Cubs, this factor may have been the stereotype that they are “loveable losers.”
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