Don't Delay

Understanding procrastination and how to achieve our goals.

Procrastination and the Planning Fallacy

Are procrastinators just overly optimistic?
Heidi Grant Halvorson
This post is a response to This Will Take No Time At All by Heidi Grant Halvorson, Ph.D.

Calendar pageI've been enjoying reading Heidi Grant Halvorson's blog, The Science of Success. It interests me, because we both have our focus on successful goal pursuit. In her latest entry, she discussed the planning fallacy as one of our biases that can affect our task engagement. She noted that ". . . while we all tend to be prone to the planning fallacy to some extent, some of us fall into its trap more often than others." Our own research on this indicates that procrastinators aren't really at risk here. Procrastinators know that they tend to work later.

Heidi did her usual excellent job of summarizing research. So I won't review the recently published study that shows how power influences the extent to which we focus on singular events rather than distributed information about task completion.

Instead, I just wanted to reply to her posting by noting how in a study we conducted over a decade ago, we didn't find trait procrastination to be an individual difference that was related to the planning fallacy. In other words, procrastinators aren't necessarily more prone to the planning fallacy, even though I think we commonly think that chronic procrastinators are "broken" like this.

I've written about the planning fallacy, procrastinaiton and our research before. If you would like more information on the topic, check out Biased Planning and Procrastination, and you may also be interested in the related topic of Affective Forecasting (another example of biases in our perceptions that lead to problems with our planning).

In the end, and not surprisingly given Heidi's and my own shared focus on successful goal pursuit, I agree with Heidi's recommendations. They are worth repeating here:

She wrote:

When you're making a plan and estimating how long it will take, be sure to stop and

1) consider how long it has taken you in the past,
2) identify the ways in which things might not go as planned, and
3) spell out all the steps you will need to take to get it done.

For Don't Delay blog readers who have not yet done so, I highly recommend reading Heidi's blog on a regular basis. It is excellent.



Subscribe to Don't Delay

Timothy A. Pychyl, Ph.D., is an associate professor of psychology at Carleton University in Ottawa, Canada, where he specializes in the study of procrastination.

more...